By R. Sasankan
India
has built a lot of heft in the global petroleum market over the years with its
pre-eminence founded on the fact that it is the world's third largest importer
of crude oil. But the question that has haunted energy experts is whether it
can now further buttress its position by turning into a major seller of
products or services that the global oil industry will in time recognise as a
formidable player.
The
short answer is: maybe.
One
area that the country could seriously explore is the oilfield services
business. India has very long experience with all facets of oil exploration and
production in the country. Over the time, the country has developed a gravy
train of quality domestic suppliers of goods, equipment and services. It is
this cohort that can try and carve out a sizable share of the burgeoning global
oilfield services business, thereby developing a new value-added revenue stream
to the existing gush of earnings from exploration and production operations
overseas. Several Indian engineering industries, shipyards, and offshore
service providers have made significant advancements in fabrication,
installation, inspection and maintenance of onshore and offshore structures,
pipelines and top side facilities.
Estimates
show that the world oilfield services market is expected to grow from US$ 305
billion in 2023 to US$ 556 billion in 2032. Some other estimates project over
revenues of US$ 482 billion in 2032, which is also a very high figure. In 2013,
pressure pumping services (fracturing for shale gas/oil and tight reservoirs,
cementing etc.) accounted for a 37% share of the market, followed by oil country
tubular goods (26%) and wire line services (11%). North America, Asia-Pacific
and Europe were the largest markets in 2013 with shares of 52%, 21% and 9%
respectively. It is also predicted that African and Asia Pacific regions would
experience the highest revenue growth for oilfield services requirement in the
next five years. In 2013, the top 10 service providers of the world had
revenues of US$ 113 billion, leaving a wide swathe of opportunities for other
players.
Clearly,
Indian players should be excited about the possibility of sussing out
opportunities in what promises to be a booming sector. But this is where the
country's upstream oil behemoths like ONGC and Oil India Ltd can lend a helping
hand. ONGC has been expanding its international operations and the large
retinue of India suppliers of goods, equipment and services can hitch hike a
ride.
Piggybacking
a monolith is really par for the course. Take China Oilfield Services Ltd
(COSL) which has leapfrogged to the 10th spot in the global oilfield services
rankings by providing services in drilling, well servicing, shipping, and
geophysical surveys. The company, which was founded in 1967, is reportedly
eyeing the Middle Eastern market and also aiming to grow its business through
acquisition. It is also a fact that COSL rapidly established its presence by
teaming up with China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), the world's third
largest oil company.
ONGC
can play a significant role as a catalyst for the growth of Indian oilfield
service companies. The state-owned giant has multiple ventures overseas through
ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL). Oil India has also been spreading its wings. It is only
natural to expect that these two players take the lead in promoting Indian
oilfield services and supply companies. Initially, they could co-opt them into
their overseas operations (to the extent permissible). Once these fledglings
find their feet, they could push the boundaries of their ambitions on their
own.
It
must be recognized that India's oil and gas operators will accord top priority
to exploring new frontiers, mainly deep waters and tight reservoirs,
non-conventional hydrocarbons and reservoir management to squeeze more and more
out of the existing fields. ONGC and OIL will also attach high importance to
these aspects in their domestic operations. They will need to harness
cost-effective state-of-the-art technologies. And so the oil and gas giants
will increasingly turn to the suppliers of materials, equipment and services to
usher in new technologies. The Indian service companies will, therefore, have
to place strong emphasis on continuous improvements in new and cost-effective
technologies, possibly in collaboration with reputed international service
companies.
There
are some areas where such alliances will work rather well. These include API of
seismic studies through boulder beds, trap covered areas, salt domes,
tectonically complex terrains etc., manufacture/services of light duty rigs for
non-conventional hydrocarbons, services for underbalanced drilling and
fracturing with non-water based fluids (e.g. CO2, N2, propane etc.), improving
flooding mechanism in depleted reservoirs to optimize sweep efficiency, and
application of AI in all facets of E&P operations.
This
is where ONGC and OIL can help quality Indian services and supply companies to
collaborate with quality foreign manufacturing and services companies to set up
manufacturing and services bases in India. Initially, they could opt to focus
on meeting a part of the expected high demand growth in African and Asia
Pacific regions. The Government of India must also play an enabling role by
providing necessary dispensations/empowerment to ONGC and OIL to promote Indian
suppliers of materials, equipment and services both within and outside the
country. The need of the hour is a coalescing of objectives that should be
achieved through a coalition of forces.
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