By R. Sasankan
India is a fast-growing economy even if it cannot claim any longer to be
at the head of pack. It is the third-largest importer of crude oil and,
therefore, has enormous influence in the international oil market. It
also ranks among the leading importers of LNG and LPG – and its
petroleum minister, Dharmendra Pradhan, is a well-known figure.
With so many positives, one might have thought that the Department of
Investment and Public Asset Management could have managed the strategic
sale of Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) without having to
undertake road shows in international cities like London, Dubai or
Houston. BPCL, India’s second-largest oil marketing PSU, after all is
not an unknown company.
What prompted this piece is my experience with India’s petroleum sector
which I have been covering since the early 1980s, starting with my days
in The Economic Times. So, here is my honest take on road shows: most of
them are elaborate junkets and have produced very poor results. The
road shows of Indian oil companies are stage-managed affairs, and
usually choreographed failures.
India’s oil companies started regular road shows in the 1990s when it
first started to seek bids for oil and gas exploration acreage. The
usual destinations were Singapore, London and Houston. The brains behind
the road shows are bureaucrats and senior executives of upstream major
Oil and Natural Gas Commission (ONGC). The minister is usually persuaded
to head the team.
There have been nine rounds of bidding under the New Exploration
Licensing Policy (NELP) – all of which organised road shows at these
locations. Normally, one would expect that there would be an assessment
of outcomes after each road show to understand how successful they have
been in terms of attracting bids from E&P companies. Strangely, I
haven’t come across any such assessment either by ONGC or the ministry.
The NELP rounds failed to attract the oil majors. During the pre-NELP
rounds of bidding, there were a couple of giants like Chevron and Texaco
that evinced interest and went on to drill one or two wildcat wells.
But the NELP rounds were an outright disaster: these road shows failed
to snare even the mid-sized companies.
The road shows were a craze back in those days among bureaucrats and top
company executives. It was an opportunity for them to go on
expense-paid foreign trips to destinations that they otherwise might
never have been able to visit. Back then, India had scarce foreign
exchange reserves and it was very hard to get approvals for the release
of dollars under a very restrictive regime on capital outflows.
International service contractors operating in India used to ensure that
a crowd of executives turned up at each of the road show venues and the
Indian embassies at these locations also tried hard to drum up
interest.
But no one actually looked closely at the people who were turning up for
these events. Dr Bhamy Shenoy, a US-based oil expert, who has worked
with multinational oil companies overseas, has an interesting story to
relate about these Indian road shows. “I attended one such event in
Houston. It was a disappointment. When I learnt that the petroleum
ministry was going to hold a road show, I wanted to meet the Indian
delegation to share my experience of working in a large multinational
corporation. I was strategic planning manager working in the chairman’s
office where I was in charge of assessing multi-billion capital
projects. However, Indian delegation did not show any interest in
wanting to meet me. I had also invited my friend who worked for an
engineering construction company with considerable experience in the oil
sector at managerial level. Our only purpose to meet the delegation was
to help them while making a presentation to the attendees. We had no
personal agenda. But the delegation headed by a senior IAS officer was
not interested. Unfortunately, the road show was a flop. None of the top
or mid -level executives who are likely to influence the decision
attended the meeting. Those who attended were junior-level technical
people with no access to the top management.”
Clearly, this is a shame. What is the use of holding such road shows if
they fail to attract an oil major or even a mid-sized company? Remember,
that even BP entered India’s E&P space as Reliance Industries’
partner and not through the bidding process for exploration acreage. It
is high time that we halt these expensive, purposeless road shows for
oil exploration blocks.
Road shows can be useful if undertaken seriously and with thorough
preparation. Look at the way that Aramco went about aggressively
marketing its initial public offering (IPO) of shares. Those behind the
Aramco IPO had done a lot of planning, identified the investors who
should be approached and determined what sort of “pressure” should be
applied to bring them on board. Result: the Aramco IPO was a grand
success.
Pradhan is very receptive to ideas. It is high time that he undertakes a
review of the outcomes of such road shows before permitting any new
ones in the future.
What provoked me to write this piece on ineffectual road shows is the
fact that the government is aggressively pursuing a strategy to sell its
stake in BPCL. Instead of road shows, it would be best to mail the
information memorandum to all investment bankers/advisers and the oil
majors and invite them to a pre-bid conference in Delhi or Mumbai. That
would be far more effective, meaningful and would cost little. Those
truly interested in bidding for BPCL could also use the opportunity to
visit some of its facilities. This approach would be far more meaningful
and make competition far more transparent, leading to a fair and,
hopefully, better valuation.
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